- This blog has a copy of all header posts that I publish anywhere, so that those interested in seeing what my thoughts are on the markets can find them easily.
- I will be answering questions and responding to comments, so feel free to respond to any posts and I will see your comment even if it is not on the most recent post.
- If you're interested in seeing any intraday charts I post, I do that on twitter, and my twitter handle is @shjackcharts.
- The charts in the posts are as large as I can practically make them. if you would like to look at one more closely, click on it, and the link will take you to a larger version at screencast. If you click on that again, you will get a full page version, and can use the resizing function on your browser to enlarge parts of interest further.

Monday, 18 September 2017

Finally Breaking 2500

After a memorably boring four day range consolidation Tuesday through Friday last week, SPX finally broke up and tagged 2500 at the close on Friday. This should follow through to the upside, short term at least, and I have some targets to watch, and a warning that this move over 2500 may well not last the week.

On SPX the obvious trendline target is rising wedge resistance, currently in the 2514 area, and a strong match with rising wedge resistance on the ES chart. On the daily chart (not shown below), there is a possible RSI 5 / NYMO sell signal brewing, but the negative divergence is slight and might well be lost on a green close today or tomorrow. SPX 60min chart:
On NDX (and RUT) there is a more robust looking daily RSI 5 sell signal brewing and there is a possible nested double tops setup forming here that might deliver a strong rejection near the all time high retest, though I'd be surprised to see that rejection before NQ reaches the bull flag target at the all time high retest there at 6025. NDX daily chart:
On RUT there is another robust looking possible daily RSI 5 sell signal brewing. The obvious target above is the retest of the all time high, but unless RUT can start to outperform SPX and NDX this week then I'm doubtful about that being reached. Maybe. RUT daily chart:
The ES, NQ and TF futures charts below were done two hours before the RTH open for Daily Video Service subscribers at theartofchart.net. If you are interested in trying our services a 30 day free trial is available here.

On ES the obvious trendline target above is rising wedge resistance, now in the 2512 area and a strong match with the trendline resistance on the SPX chart. ES Dec 60min chart:
On NQ there is unfinished business above at the fixed bull flag target at retest of the all time high at 6025. Not expecting a serious reversal before that target is hit but we may see one not long after it is. NQ Dec 60min chart:
TF reached the first of my three higher probability candidate resistance trendlines at the close on Friday and has broken slightly higher overnight. If TF can reach the next one up that is now in the 1446 area. TF Dec 60min chart:
Ideally looking for a high by Wed/Thurs this week that delivers at least a retracement into the rising wedge support trendline from the Feb 2016 low, currently in the 2390 area, and lower if that support breaks. We'll see how that goes. :-)

Stan and I are doing the first of two 'Trading Toolbox' free educational webinars an hour after the close on Thursday at theartofchart.net, and this one will be looking at the use of bollinger bands in day and swing trading. If you would like to attend then you can register for that on our September Free Webinars page. This week's edition of The Weekly Call is posted and the model portfolio there is up 206% in the ten months to September 10th, now slightly over our target minimum 200% return over the first year. As that target has been reached we're thinking of making the strategy there a bit less conservative. That's a free weekly service and if you trade futures I'd suggest adding it to your reading list.

We've introduced a new service in beta two weeks ago at theartofchart.com called Jacob's Ladders and that's going to be freely available for a couple of months before likely going subscription only at a price to be decided upon, but intended to be inexpensive. The system is fibonacci-based and generates intraday levels likely to be important on a wide variety of futures. I've been using it for months and it's really very good. If you're interested in trying it you can see the introduction page here, and you can see the review for last week here.  Strong recommend to have a look if you trade futures intraday, or can use an powerful tool for picking entries on longer term swing trades.

No comments:

Post a Comment